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Lock of the Century Eleven seasons. Seventy-seven methods. One ladder.

Teams

Toledo

MAC · 2026

Lined games 4-2Final FBR rank #68 (best #60)Rankings →
#1#121Week -1 · Aug 23: #115Week 0 · Aug 30: #109Week 1 · Sep 6: #119Week 1 · Sep 8: #118Week 2 · Sep 13: #91Week 3 · Sep 20: #78Week 4 · Sep 27: #66Week 5 · Oct 4: #60Week 6 · Oct 11: #87Week 7 · Oct 18: #68#68

Records

2026All time
Straight up4-2 (66.7%)80-47 (63.0%)
Against the spread2-4-1 (33.3%)61-64-3 (48.8%)
Model bets on their games (ATS)4-0-2 (100.0%)55-46-4 (54.5%)
Model picked them (ATS)1-0-1 (100.0%)21-19-3 (52.5%)
Model faded them (ATS)3-0-1 (100.0%)34-27-1 (55.7%)
Model picked them (SU)3-1 (75.0%)57-32 (64.0%)
Model faded them (SU)0-2 (0.0%)11-21 (34.4%)

Game log

DateOpponentLocResultFBRCloseTierATS pickSU pick
Sep 4Michigan StateatL by 100.0-10.0LockToledo +10.0 P—
Sep 19TemplevsW by 1-1.0+6.0BaseTemple +6.0 WTemple L
Sep 26San Diego StatevsW by 25+11.0+2.5BaseToledo -2.5 WToledo W
Oct 3Ball StateatW by 15+12.0+21.0BaseBall State +21.0 WToledo W
Oct 10BuffalovsL by 15+14.5+18.5BaseBuffalo +18.5 WToledo L
Oct 17Eastern MichiganatW by 20+6.0+7.5——Toledo W
Oct 24Western MichiganvsT-6.5+3.0BaseWestern Michigan +3.0 Western Michigan

FBR and Close are shown from Toledo’s perspective: + = Toledo favored.