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Lock of the Century Eleven seasons. Seventy-seven methods. One ladder.

Teams

Texas State

Sun Belt · 2025

Lined games 6-6Final FBR rank #86 (best #36)Rankings →
#1#125Week 0 · Aug 24: #107Week 1 · Aug 31: #36Week 1 · Sep 2: #36Week 2 · Sep 7: #39Week 3 · Sep 14: #83Week 4 · Sep 21: #70Week 5 · Sep 28: #65Week 6 · Oct 5: #95Week 7 · Oct 12: #106Week 8 · Oct 19: #111Week 9 · Oct 26: #109Week 10 · Nov 2: #116Week 11 · Nov 9: #123Week 12 · Nov 16: #105Week 13 · Nov 23: #98Week 14 · Nov 30: #91Week 15 · Dec 7: #91Week 16 · Dec 14: #91Week 17 · Dec 21: #84Week 17 · Dec 23: #91Week 18 · Dec 28: #86Week 18 · Dec 30: #90Week 19 · Jan 4: #84Week 20 · Jan 11: #85Week 21 · Jan 20: #86#86

Records

2025All time
Straight up6-6 (50.0%)34-84 (28.8%)
Against the spread5-7-0 (41.7%)49-66-3 (42.6%)
Model bets on their games (ATS)5-6-0 (45.5%)41-51-3 (44.6%)
Model picked them (ATS)1-2-0 (33.3%)24-34-1 (41.4%)
Model faded them (ATS)4-4-0 (50.0%)17-17-2 (50.0%)
Model picked them (SU)4-3 (57.1%)18-20 (47.4%)
Model faded them (SU)3-1 (75.0%)57-13 (81.4%)

Game log

DateOpponentLocResultFBRCloseTierATS pickSU pick
Aug 30Eastern MichiganvsW by 250.0+14.0LockEastern Michigan +14.0 L—
Sep 6UTSAatW by 7+7.5-4.0LockTexas State +4.0 WTexas State W
Sep 13Arizona StateatL by 19+10.0-17.5MillenniumTexas State +17.5 LTexas State L
Oct 4Arkansas StateatL by 1+9.5+13.5BaseArkansas State +13.5 WTexas State L
Oct 11TroyvsL by 7-2.0+7.5BaseTroy +7.5 WTroy W
Oct 18MarshallatL by 3-11.0+2.5LockMarshall +2.5 WMarshall W
Oct 28James MadisonvsL by 32-14.0-6.5BaseJames Madison -6.5 WJames Madison W
Nov 8LouisianaatL by 3+6.0+3.0BaseTexas State -3.0 LTexas State L
Nov 15Southern MissatW by 27-15.0-3.0LockSouthern Miss -3.0 LSouthern Miss L
Nov 22UL MonroevsW by 17+20.0+20.0——Texas State W
Nov 29South AlabamavsW by 23+2.5+9.0BaseSouth Alabama +9.0 LTexas State W
Jan 2RiceNW by 31+5.5+19.5LockRice +19.5 LTexas State W

FBR and Close are shown from Texas State’s perspective: + = Texas State favored.