Model performance · 2026 season
ATS 150-159-3 (48.5%, -49.1u)ROI -7.9% on 618u stakedSU 226-126 (64.2%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%
Week by week
| Week | Bets | ATS | Cover% | Units | Cum. | SU | SU% |
|---|
| Week 0 | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0 | +6.9 | +6.9 | 1-0 | 100.0 |
| Week 1 | 38 | 15-23-2 | 39.5 | -27.2 | -20.3 | 18-3 | 85.7 |
| Week 2 | 42 | 21-21-0 | 50.0 | -3.5 | -23.7 | 28-19 | 59.6 |
| Week 3 | 45 | 24-21-0 | 53.3 | +1.2 | -22.5 | 33-23 | 58.9 |
| Week 4 | 46 | 25-21-0 | 54.3 | -5.4 | -27.9 | 36-21 | 63.2 |
| Week 5 | 41 | 20-21-1 | 48.8 | -7.8 | -35.7 | 36-19 | 65.5 |
| Week 6 | 47 | 22-25-0 | 46.8 | -2.8 | -38.5 | 36-21 | 63.2 |
| Week 7 | 42 | 19-23-0 | 45.2 | -10.6 | -49.1 | 38-20 | 65.5 |
Conference (league games)
| Conference | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| Sun Belt | 18 | 15-3 | 83.3 | 8-5 | 61.5 |
| Mountain West | 16 | 13-3 | 81.3 | 5-4 | 55.6 |
| Pac-12 | 10 | 7-2 | 77.8 | 4-3 | 57.1 |
| Big 12 | 25 | 17-8 | 68.0 | 14-7 | 66.7 |
| MAC | 21 | 13-7 | 65.0 | 5-8 | 38.5 |
| CUSA | 11 | 7-4 | 63.6 | 3-6 | 33.3 |
| Big Ten | 32 | 19-11 | 63.3 | 14-9 | 60.9 |
| ACC | 32 | 16-15 | 51.6 | 8-15 | 34.8 |
| SEC | 33 | 17-16 | 51.5 | 9-19 | 32.1 |
| American | 20 | 9-11 | 45.0 | 4-11 | 26.7 |
P5 / G5 split
| Matchup | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| G5 vs G5 | 214 | 89-58 | 60.5 | 56-59 | 48.7 |
| P5 vs G5 | 78 | 54-9 | 85.7 | 36-40 | 47.4 |
| P5 vs P5 | 153 | 83-59 | 58.5 | 58-60 | 49.2 |