Model performance · 2025 season
ATS 342-329-9 (51.0%, +3.2u)ROI +0.3% on 1,232u stakedSU 519-249 (67.6%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%
Week by week
| Week | Bets | ATS | Cover% | Units | Cum. | SU | SU% |
|---|
| Week 0 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 | 0-1 | 0.0 |
| Week 1 | 37 | 19-18-0 | 51.4 | +17.6 | +13.6 | 9-7 | 56.2 |
| Week 2 | 45 | 23-22-1 | 51.1 | +2.4 | +16.0 | 31-18 | 63.3 |
| Week 3 | 40 | 23-17-0 | 57.5 | +5.8 | +21.8 | 34-11 | 75.6 |
| Week 4 | 40 | 21-19-1 | 52.5 | -1.6 | +20.3 | 29-19 | 60.4 |
| Week 5 | 44 | 20-24-1 | 45.5 | -10.9 | +9.4 | 36-15 | 70.6 |
| Week 6 | 41 | 24-17-2 | 58.5 | +12.2 | +21.5 | 35-15 | 70.0 |
| Week 7 | 41 | 23-18-1 | 56.1 | +2.4 | +23.9 | 39-17 | 69.6 |
| Week 8 | 51 | 29-22-1 | 56.9 | +3.6 | +27.5 | 38-21 | 64.4 |
| Week 9 | 41 | 19-22-0 | 46.3 | -4.7 | +22.8 | 38-15 | 71.7 |
| Week 10 | 48 | 24-24-1 | 50.0 | +0.8 | +23.6 | 31-20 | 60.8 |
| Week 11 | 44 | 21-23-0 | 47.7 | -12.1 | +11.5 | 29-21 | 58.0 |
| Week 12 | 47 | 20-27-0 | 42.6 | -11.5 | +0.1 | 40-18 | 69.0 |
| Week 13 | 53 | 27-26-1 | 50.9 | +3.3 | +3.4 | 44-16 | 73.3 |
| Week 14 | 52 | 31-21-0 | 59.6 | +16.1 | +19.5 | 52-13 | 80.0 |
| Week 15 | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4 | -2.4 | +17.1 | 5-4 | 55.6 |
| Week 16 | 0 | 0-0-0 | — | 0.0 | +17.1 | 2-0 | 100.0 |
| Bowls | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0 | -2.3 | +14.8 | 5-6 | 45.5 |
| Bowls | 15 | 7-8-0 | 46.7 | -3.0 | +11.8 | 11-5 | 68.8 |
| Bowls | 13 | 5-8-0 | 38.5 | -7.6 | +4.3 | 9-6 | 60.0 |
| Bowls | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | +4.2 | 1-1 | 50.0 |
| Bowls | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | +3.2 | 1-0 | 100.0 |
Conference (league games)
| Conference | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| Big Ten | 83 | 66-17 | 79.5 | 36-32 | 52.9 |
| SEC | 67 | 48-18 | 72.7 | 35-27 | 56.5 |
| American | 58 | 39-18 | 68.4 | 19-21 | 47.5 |
| MAC | 53 | 36-17 | 67.9 | 21-16 | 56.8 |
| Sun Belt | 58 | 39-19 | 67.2 | 27-23 | 54.0 |
| Big 12 | 74 | 47-26 | 64.4 | 29-32 | 47.5 |
| ACC | 70 | 41-28 | 59.4 | 29-33 | 46.8 |
| Mountain West | 49 | 28-21 | 57.1 | 22-20 | 52.4 |
| CUSA | 49 | 27-21 | 56.3 | 22-20 | 52.4 |
P5 / G5 split
| Matchup | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| G5 vs G5 | 333 | 204-115 | 63.9 | 134-124 | 51.9 |
| P5 vs G5 | 115 | 73-24 | 75.3 | 55-48 | 53.4 |
| P5 vs P5 | 362 | 242-110 | 68.8 | 153-157 | 49.4 |