Model Performance – Lock of the Century

Model performance · 2023 season

ATS 328-285-15 (53.5%, -1.2u)ROI -0.1% on 1,139u stakedSU 529-216 (71.0%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%

Week	Bets	ATS	Cover%	Units	Cum.	SU	SU%
Week 0	4	3-1-0	75.0	+4.3	+4.3	2-0	100.0
Week 1	40	17-23-0	42.5	-27.9	-23.6	15-3	83.3
Week 2	38	16-22-1	42.1	-12.4	-36.0	33-12	73.3
Week 3	45	25-20-0	55.6	-4.8	-40.8	39-14	73.6
Week 4	44	25-19-4	56.8	+6.1	-34.7	47-15	75.8
Week 5	43	23-20-2	53.5	+1.6	-33.1	43-12	78.2
Week 6	38	19-19-1	50.0	-9.8	-42.9	31-17	64.6
Week 7	44	24-20-2	54.5	-3.2	-46.1	35-18	66.0
Week 8	46	32-14-1	69.6	+26.6	-19.5	41-14	74.5
Week 9	45	24-21-0	53.3	-3.5	-22.9	36-16	69.2
Week 10	44	23-21-1	52.3	+12.9	-10.0	41-20	67.2
Week 11	46	19-27-0	41.3	-26.8	-36.8	43-21	67.2
Week 12	45	29-16-0	64.4	+30.6	-6.2	50-14	78.1
Week 13	46	28-18-3	60.9	+20.9	+14.7	49-14	77.8
Week 14	8	3-5-0	37.5	-1.6	+13.1	4-6	40.0
Week 15	1	1-0-0	100.0	+1.8	+14.9	1-0	100.0
Week 16	6	5-1-0	83.3	+6.3	+21.2	5-2	71.4
Bowls	7	4-3-0	57.1	-1.5	+19.7	5-3	62.5
Bowls	21	7-14-0	33.3	-21.7	-2.0	8-14	36.4
Bowls	1	1-0-0	100.0	+1.8	-0.2	1-0	100.0
Bowls	1	0-1-0	0.0	-1.0	-1.2	0-1	0.0

Conference	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
CUSA	37	30-5	85.7	20-7	74.1
SEC	57	46-9	83.6	29-17	63.0
American	57	45-12	78.9	27-18	60.0
MAC	48	36-12	75.0	19-16	54.3
Big Ten	64	45-17	72.6	26-19	57.8
Pac-12	55	39-16	70.9	17-22	43.6
Big 12	63	43-19	69.4	26-26	50.0
Sun Belt	57	36-21	63.2	23-18	56.1
ACC	55	34-20	63.0	23-23	50.0
Mountain West	48	28-19	59.6	17-18	48.6

Matchup	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
G5 vs G5	319	215-92	70.0	140-100	58.3
P5 vs G5	108	70-18	79.5	45-50	47.4
P5 vs P5	358	244-106	69.7	143-135	51.4