Model Performance – Lock of the Century

Model performance · 2022 season

ATS 317-321-10 (49.7%, -120.6u)ROI -10.6% on 1,140u stakedSU 482-253 (65.6%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%

Week	Bets	ATS	Cover%	Units	Cum.	SU	SU%
Week 0	6	2-4-0	33.3	+0.5	+0.5	0-0	—
Week 1	37	14-23-1	37.8	-53.0	-52.6	15-1	93.8
Week 2	42	20-22-2	47.6	+0.6	-51.9	26-20	56.5
Week 3	49	24-25-0	49.0	-24.6	-76.6	32-19	62.7
Week 4	48	23-25-2	47.9	-3.9	-80.5	37-22	62.7
Week 5	42	22-20-1	52.4	+3.6	-76.9	37-21	63.8
Week 6	40	22-18-1	55.0	+1.3	-75.6	38-17	69.1
Week 7	37	16-21-0	43.2	-7.6	-83.3	26-25	51.0
Week 8	44	29-15-0	65.9	+10.7	-72.6	35-17	67.3
Week 9	44	27-17-0	61.4	+7.3	-65.3	33-15	68.8
Week 10	49	26-23-0	53.1	-2.7	-68.0	38-19	66.7
Week 11	53	18-35-0	34.0	-22.9	-90.9	46-18	71.9
Week 12	50	25-25-1	50.0	-5.6	-96.5	40-20	66.7
Week 13	50	23-27-2	46.0	-10.7	-107.2	45-18	71.4
Week 14	8	4-4-0	50.0	-3.7	-110.9	6-4	60.0
Week 15	1	1-0-0	100.0	+0.9	-110.0	1-0	100.0
Week 16	7	5-2-0	71.4	+3.4	-106.7	7-2	77.8
Bowls	8	7-1-0	87.5	+8.1	-98.6	6-3	66.7
Bowls	21	8-13-0	38.1	-20.9	-119.5	13-11	54.2
Bowls	1	0-1-0	0.0	-2.0	-121.5	0-1	0.0
Bowls	1	1-0-0	100.0	+0.9	-120.6	1-0	100.0

Conference	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
Pac-12	55	41-14	74.5	19-26	42.2
Big Ten	64	45-16	73.8	23-26	46.9
American	46	33-12	73.3	24-15	61.5
Mountain West	49	34-15	69.4	14-21	40.0
ACC	56	36-19	65.5	28-20	58.3
Big 12	46	30-16	65.2	23-18	56.1
Sun Belt	57	36-21	63.2	23-16	59.0
SEC	56	35-21	62.5	19-28	40.4
CUSA	45	26-17	60.5	16-21	43.2
MAC	49	25-23	52.1	20-16	55.6
Independents	8	4-4	50.0	3-3	50.0

Matchup	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
G5 vs G5	333	197-121	61.9	136-121	52.9
P5 vs G5	105	68-21	76.4	46-50	47.9
P5 vs P5	336	217-111	66.2	135-150	47.4