Model performance · 2021 season
ATS 299-299-11 (50.0%, -49.4u)ROI -4.4% on 1,128u stakedSU 482-244 (66.4%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%
Week by week
| Week | Bets | ATS | Cover% | Units | Cum. | SU | SU% |
|---|
| Week 0 | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0 | -7.1 | -7.1 | 0-0 | — |
| Week 1 | 37 | 19-18-1 | 51.4 | -9.2 | -16.3 | 10-6 | 62.5 |
| Week 2 | 37 | 19-18-1 | 51.4 | -11.2 | -27.5 | 32-14 | 69.6 |
| Week 3 | 39 | 16-23-0 | 41.0 | -14.2 | -41.6 | 36-14 | 72.0 |
| Week 4 | 48 | 28-20-1 | 58.3 | +6.7 | -34.9 | 43-15 | 74.1 |
| Week 5 | 45 | 23-22-2 | 51.1 | -0.9 | -35.8 | 33-26 | 55.9 |
| Week 6 | 41 | 20-21-0 | 48.8 | -5.5 | -41.3 | 28-21 | 57.1 |
| Week 7 | 36 | 20-16-0 | 55.6 | +3.6 | -37.6 | 36-14 | 72.0 |
| Week 8 | 39 | 20-19-0 | 51.3 | +3.5 | -34.2 | 32-19 | 62.7 |
| Week 9 | 44 | 21-23-0 | 47.7 | -4.7 | -38.9 | 31-22 | 58.5 |
| Week 10 | 44 | 18-26-0 | 40.9 | -12.9 | -51.8 | 35-23 | 60.3 |
| Week 11 | 46 | 22-24-2 | 47.8 | -6.5 | -58.3 | 40-20 | 66.7 |
| Week 12 | 50 | 27-23-0 | 54.0 | +4.3 | -54.0 | 47-15 | 75.8 |
| Week 13 | 49 | 27-22-2 | 55.1 | +12.4 | -41.6 | 50-13 | 79.4 |
| Week 14 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5 | +0.3 | -41.4 | 6-5 | 54.5 |
| Week 15 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -43.4 | 1-1 | 50.0 |
| Week 16 | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9 | -1.6 | -44.9 | 5-3 | 62.5 |
| Bowls | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3 | -3.2 | -48.1 | 4-3 | 57.1 |
| Bowls | 13 | 7-6-2 | 53.8 | -1.0 | -49.1 | 12-8 | 60.0 |
| Bowls | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0 | +0.7 | -48.4 | 1-1 | 50.0 |
| Bowls | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -49.4 | 0-1 | 0.0 |
Conference (league games)
| Conference | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| American | 45 | 33-12 | 73.3 | 19-14 | 57.6 |
| CUSA | 57 | 40-17 | 70.2 | 21-23 | 47.7 |
| Big Ten | 64 | 41-20 | 67.2 | 31-25 | 55.4 |
| Mountain West | 50 | 32-17 | 65.3 | 15-20 | 42.9 |
| Sun Belt | 41 | 26-14 | 65.0 | 18-12 | 60.0 |
| Big 12 | 46 | 29-17 | 63.0 | 17-19 | 47.2 |
| ACC | 58 | 35-22 | 61.4 | 25-21 | 54.3 |
| Pac-12 | 55 | 33-22 | 60.0 | 15-25 | 37.5 |
| SEC | 55 | 33-22 | 60.0 | 24-20 | 54.5 |
| MAC | 48 | 27-21 | 56.3 | 15-18 | 45.5 |
P5 / G5 split
| Matchup | Games | SU | SU% | ATS | ATS% |
|---|
| G5 vs G5 | 325 | 208-107 | 66.0 | 120-126 | 48.8 |
| P5 vs G5 | 106 | 68-17 | 80.0 | 44-47 | 48.4 |
| P5 vs P5 | 334 | 206-120 | 63.2 | 135-126 | 51.7 |