Model Performance – Lock of the Century

Model performance · 2020 season

ATS 224-193-6 (53.7%, +10.6u)ROI +1.4% on 753u stakedSU 351-147 (70.5%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%

Week	Bets	ATS	Cover%	Units	Cum.	SU	SU%
Week 1	4	3-1-0	75.0	+7.2	+7.2	0-0	—
Week 2	13	8-5-0	61.5	+0.3	+7.4	4-1	80.0
Week 3	13	8-5-0	61.5	+4.6	+12.0	11-3	78.6
Week 4	21	12-9-1	57.1	+12.4	+24.4	20-6	76.9
Week 5	22	11-11-0	50.0	-1.6	+22.8	18-10	64.3
Week 6	23	12-11-0	52.2	+1.0	+23.8	16-11	59.3
Week 7	17	10-7-0	58.8	-2.2	+21.6	19-8	70.4
Week 8	35	16-19-0	45.7	-16.4	+5.3	23-13	63.9
Week 9	30	12-18-0	40.0	-12.9	-7.6	30-12	71.4
Week 10	37	19-18-2	51.4	-2.6	-10.2	34-6	85.0
Week 11	32	21-11-0	65.6	+15.8	+5.6	38-5	88.4
Week 12	33	16-17-1	48.5	+3.1	+8.7	25-16	61.0
Week 13	36	20-16-1	55.6	-2.4	+6.4	34-11	75.6
Week 14	35	19-16-0	54.3	+12.4	+18.7	28-15	65.1
Week 15	28	17-11-1	60.7	+2.6	+21.4	25-12	67.6
Bowls	15	8-7-0	53.3	-3.0	+18.4	10-8	55.6
Bowls	7	4-3-0	57.1	+0.5	+18.8	7-2	77.8
Bowls	14	7-7-0	50.0	-9.0	+9.8	8-7	53.3
Bowls	1	0-1-0	0.0	-1.0	+8.8	0-1	0.0
Bowls	1	1-0-0	100.0	+1.8	+10.6	1-0	100.0

Conference	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
MAC	33	22-5	81.5	15-9	62.5
Sun Belt	39	30-9	76.9	16-16	50.0
SEC	69	51-18	73.9	24-28	46.2
American	40	29-11	72.5	18-12	60.0
Big 12	44	30-13	69.8	16-20	44.4
ACC	72	49-22	69.0	36-23	61.0
Pac-12	30	19-9	67.9	13-11	54.2
Mountain West	33	20-10	66.7	9-15	37.5
Big Ten	49	30-16	65.2	25-12	67.6
CUSA	35	20-14	58.8	12-13	48.0

Matchup	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
G5 vs G5	234	156-58	72.9	95-85	52.8
P5 vs G5	19	9-6	60.0	9-9	50.0
P5 vs P5	276	186-83	69.1	120-99	54.8