Model Performance – Lock of the Century

Model performance · 2017 season

ATS 298-309-17 (49.1%, -86.8u)ROI -7.8% on 1,112u stakedSU 496-246 (66.8%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%

Week	Bets	ATS	Cover%	Units	Cum.	SU	SU%
Week 0	3	2-1-0	66.7	+2.6	+2.6	1-0	100.0
Week 1	38	17-21-1	44.7	-11.2	-8.5	15-1	93.8
Week 2	36	22-14-0	61.1	+4.9	-3.6	29-18	61.7
Week 3	38	17-21-1	44.7	-22.7	-26.4	37-14	72.5
Week 4	44	26-18-0	59.1	+12.8	-13.5	36-18	66.7
Week 5	43	17-26-1	39.5	-18.6	-32.2	35-19	64.8
Week 6	44	25-19-2	56.8	-6.0	-38.2	39-17	69.6
Week 7	45	23-22-1	51.1	-4.4	-42.5	37-21	63.8
Week 8	45	18-27-0	40.0	-13.6	-56.1	38-17	69.1
Week 9	39	19-20-3	48.7	-3.8	-59.9	34-21	61.8
Week 10	48	27-21-2	56.2	-0.1	-60.0	40-21	65.6
Week 11	46	20-26-2	43.5	-11.3	-71.3	40-18	69.0
Week 12	50	22-28-1	44.0	-18.6	-89.9	42-18	70.0
Week 13	43	19-24-1	44.2	-8.4	-98.3	43-18	70.5
Week 14	12	7-5-1	58.3	+7.7	-90.5	10-5	66.7
Week 15	1	0-1-0	0.0	-1.0	-91.5	0-2	0.0
Week 16	3	3-0-0	100.0	+6.4	-85.2	3-1	75.0
Bowls	6	1-5-0	16.7	-7.2	-92.4	3-6	33.3
Bowls	21	12-9-1	57.1	+4.9	-87.5	14-9	60.9
Bowls	1	0-1-0	0.0	-3.0	-90.5	0-1	0.0
Bowls	1	1-0-0	100.0	+3.6	-86.8	0-1	0.0

Conference	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
American	49	35-14	71.4	19-19	50.0
Big Ten	64	45-19	70.3	26-25	51.0
Big 12	46	32-14	69.6	19-19	50.0
MAC	49	34-15	69.4	13-23	36.1
Mountain West	49	34-15	69.4	25-14	64.1
CUSA	57	39-18	68.4	22-22	50.0
SEC	58	38-18	67.9	23-24	48.9
Sun Belt	48	29-18	61.7	14-19	42.4
ACC	57	34-23	59.6	20-22	47.6
Pac-12	55	30-24	55.6	20-24	45.5

Matchup	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
G5 vs G5	325	207-107	65.9	122-122	50.0
P5 vs G5	112	70-27	72.2	40-54	42.6
P5 vs P5	339	219-112	66.2	136-133	50.6