Model Performance – Lock of the Century

Model performance · 2016 season

ATS 291-310-10 (48.4%, -106.9u)ROI -9.8% on 1,092u stakedSU 479-236 (67.0%)breakeven at −110 = 52.4%

Week	Bets	ATS	Cover%	Units	Cum.	SU	SU%
Week 0	1	0-1-0	0.0	-3.0	-3.0	0-0	—
Week 1	35	19-16-1	54.3	+0.8	-2.2	11-4	73.3
Week 2	42	16-26-0	38.1	-35.5	-37.6	25-19	56.8
Week 3	47	24-23-1	51.1	-2.2	-39.8	39-14	73.6
Week 4	44	22-22-0	50.0	-7.1	-46.9	38-15	71.7
Week 5	45	17-28-1	37.8	-24.5	-71.4	35-22	61.4
Week 6	38	23-15-0	60.5	+14.2	-57.2	30-22	57.7
Week 7	41	21-20-1	51.2	+1.6	-55.5	38-15	71.7
Week 8	41	23-18-1	56.1	+9.4	-46.2	38-14	73.1
Week 9	44	17-27-0	38.6	-27.3	-73.4	30-20	60.0
Week 10	46	29-17-0	63.0	+13.4	-60.1	47-11	81.0
Week 11	45	22-23-2	48.9	-14.7	-74.8	41-17	70.7
Week 12	39	23-16-0	59.0	+17.0	-57.8	38-18	67.9
Week 13	46	16-30-2	34.8	-40.1	-97.9	36-23	61.0
Week 14	12	6-6-0	50.0	-0.8	-98.7	13-3	81.2
Week 15	2	0-2-0	0.0	-3.0	-101.7	0-2	0.0
Week 16	3	1-2-0	33.3	-2.1	-103.8	4-1	80.0
Bowls	8	6-2-1	75.0	+4.2	-99.6	5-3	62.5
Bowls	21	5-16-0	23.8	-10.9	-110.5	10-13	43.5
Bowls	1	1-0-0	100.0	+3.6	-106.9	1-0	100.0

Conference	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
Big Ten	64	49-15	76.6	31-20	60.8
Big 12	45	32-12	72.7	18-16	52.9
Pac-12	54	39-15	72.2	22-22	50.0
ACC	57	39-16	70.9	26-26	50.0
American	48	34-14	70.8	14-15	48.3
MAC	48	31-15	67.4	18-19	48.6
Sun Belt	44	29-15	65.9	15-17	46.9
Mountain West	47	30-17	63.8	16-16	50.0
SEC	57	33-21	61.1	18-32	36.0
CUSA	52	30-21	58.8	17-22	43.6

Matchup	Games	SU	SU%	ATS	ATS%
G5 vs G5	309	194-101	65.8	112-116	49.1
P5 vs G5	107	65-30	68.4	41-52	44.1
P5 vs P5	335	220-105	67.7	138-142	49.3