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Lock of the Century Eleven seasons. Seventy-seven methods. One ladder.

Matchup

Duke

FBR #73

at

Virginia

FBR #81

Friday Oct 23FBR line +7.5Close -1.5BaseATS pick DukeSU pick Duke

Tale of the tape · 2026

DukeVirginia
FBR rank#73#81
Straight up3-2 (60.0%)3-3 (50.0%)
Against the spread3-2-0 (60.0%)2-3-1 (40.0%)
Model picked them (ATS)1-1-0 (50.0%)0-1-0 (0.0%)
Model faded them (ATS)0-1-0 (0.0%)2-2-0 (50.0%)

Head to head since 2015

DateResultFBRCloseModel ATS
Dec 6, 2025Duke by 7-15.0-4.0Virginia L
Nov 15, 2025Virginia by 17+17.5-3.5Virginia W
Nov 18, 2023Virginia by 3+9.5+3.5Duke L
Oct 1, 2022Duke by 21-10.5-2.5Duke W
Oct 16, 2021Virginia by 48-16.0-10.5Virginia W
Sep 26, 2020Virginia by 18-5.5-4.5—
Oct 19, 2019Virginia by 34+6.0-3.5Duke L
Oct 20, 2018Virginia by 14-3.5-6.5Virginia W
Oct 7, 2017Virginia by 7+14.5-1.5Duke L
Oct 1, 2016Virginia by 14-3.5-4.0—
Nov 21, 2015Virginia by 8+13.0-2.0Duke L

Model in this series: 4-5 ATS.

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